Theoretical play and daily value
Theoretical loss = total wagering × house edge ÷ 100. Average daily theoretical, or ADT, divides total theoretical loss by the number of gaming days counted in your scenario.
Modeled comp value = total theoretical loss × assumed comp return ÷ 100. Here the comp percentage applies to theoretical loss. A rate based on coin-in, points, or another measure would need a different calculation.
Coin-in counts betting activity, including funds wagered again after payouts. A deposit measures money transferred into an account. Your actual session profit or loss is a separate figure.
Worked example
With $10,000 in coin-in and a 5% house edge, theoretical loss is $500. Dividing by two counted gaming days gives modeled ADT of $250.
If you assume 20% of total theoretical loss is returned as comps, modeled comp value is $100. The 20% is an example input, not a rate promised by a casino.
The same theoretical loss divided by four counted days gives $125 ADT. The total modeled comp value remains $100 under this formula because it is based on total theoretical loss.
| Input or calculation | Example |
|---|---|
| Total coin-in | $10,000 |
| House edge | 5% |
| Theoretical loss | $500 |
| Counted gaming days | 2 |
| Average daily theoretical | $250 |
| Assumed comp return | 20% |
| Modeled comp value | $100 |
Choose the day count deliberately
Use the denominator relevant to the scenario you are evaluating. Calendar days, visits, and a property's gaming days may have different boundaries. At least one counted day is needed to calculate a daily average.
For a table-play estimate, total wagering can be approximated as average bet × hands per hour × hours played. A property's rating may use a different speed of play, average stake, or house edge.
Read the reward beside its cost
Loyalty programs have their own rating inputs, exclusions, and redemption terms. This calculator evaluates the assumptions you enter; it cannot retrieve a private rating or confirm an offer.
Additional play increases theoretical loss along with the modeled reward. In the example, $100 of modeled comps accompanies $500 of expected wagering cost. A comp's value to you also depends on whether you would otherwise pay for it.
Common questions
Is ADT the amount I actually lost each day?
ADT is an average of theoretical loss under the entered assumptions. Your actual results can differ substantially.
Does the result confirm my next offer?
The number is a scenario based on your entered rate and day count. The property's own program determines actual rewards and offers.
Sources and assumptions
References checked November 3, 2026. Tax and provider rules can change.